Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for TRF?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
-19.1% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹265
Historical Growth
-5.0%
FCF Yield
30.83%
Price / FCF
3.2x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $264.58, TRF.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at -19.1% per year for the next 10 years. That is 14.1% slower than its historical growth rate of -5.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied | -19.1% | ₹266 | +0.7% |
| Half implied | -9.6% | ₹468 | +76.8% |
| Historical | -5.0% | ₹634 | +139.6% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹1,909 | +621.5% |
At Historical Growth Rate
It would take 3 years for TRF to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of -5.0%.
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.