Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for UMESLTD?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
3.4% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹6
Historical Growth
2.0%
FCF Yield
7.43%
Price / FCF
13.5x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $5.82, UMESLTD.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 3.4% per year for the next 10 years. That is 1.4% faster than its historical growth rate of 2.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
Adjust Assumptions
Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 1.7% | ₹5 | -12.3% |
| Historical | 2.0% | ₹5 | -10.2% |
| Implied | 3.4% | ₹6 | +0.2% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹10 | +68.4% |
See full DCF analysis
Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, Monte Carlo, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.