Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for VGL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
3.6% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹60
Historical Growth
-5.0%
FCF Yield
8.84%
Price / FCF
11.3x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $60.30, VGL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 3.6% per year for the next 10 years. That is 8.6% faster than its historical growth rate of -5.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -5.0% | ₹25 | -58.7% |
| Half implied | 1.8% | ₹51 | -15.8% |
| Implied | 3.6% | ₹60 | -0.0% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹108 | +79.5% |
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.