Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for VGUARD?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
reasonable
13.9% implied annual FCF growth
The market's growth assumption looks achievable — it is in line with or below what this company has historically delivered.
Current Price
₹322
Historical Growth
18.0%
FCF Yield
2.53%
Price / FCF
39.5x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $322.45, VGUARD.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 13.9% per year for the next 10 years. That is 4.1% slower than its historical growth rate of 18.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 7.0% | ₹186 | -42.4% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹237 | -26.5% |
| Implied | 13.9% | ₹326 | +1.0% |
| Historical | 18.0% | ₹450 | +39.5% |
At Historical Growth Rate
It would take 7 years for VGUARD to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 18.0%.
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.