Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for ALKEM?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
aggressive
16.4% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in above-average growth. Achievable for a high-quality business but leaves limited margin for error — any slowdown could hurt the price.
Current Price
₹5,300
Historical Growth
10.9%
FCF Yield
2.12%
Price / FCF
47.1x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹5299.50, ALKEM.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 16.4% per year for the next 10 years. That is 5.5% faster than its historical growth rate of 10.9%. This is optimistic but not impossible for a high-quality business. The stock leaves little room for error — any slowdown could hurt the price.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 8.2% | ₹2,704 | -49.0% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹3,144 | -40.7% |
| Historical | 10.9% | ₹3,385 | -36.1% |
| Implied | 16.4% | ₹5,300 | +0.0% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At 10.9% growth, the model values ALKEM at ₹3,385, below today's ₹5,300.
See full DCF analysis
Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, reverse DCF, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.