Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for ALPA?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
reasonable
11.0% implied annual FCF growth
The market's growth assumption looks achievable for a quality business. This is within normal range — the stock is not pricing in heroic execution.
Current Price
₹70
Historical Growth
-1.7%
FCF Yield
4.06%
Price / FCF
24.7x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹70.26, ALPA.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 11.0% per year for the next 10 years. That is 12.7% faster than its historical growth rate of -1.7%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
Adjust Assumptions
Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -1.7% | ₹27 | -62.1% |
| Half implied | 5.5% | ₹46 | -34.5% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹65 | -7.0% |
| Implied | 11.0% | ₹70 | +0.0% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At -1.7% growth, the model values ALPA at ₹27, below today's ₹70.
See full DCF analysis
Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, reverse DCF, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.