Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for CASTROLIND?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
3.6% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹180
Historical Growth
10.0%
FCF Yield
5.58%
Price / FCF
17.9x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $179.92, CASTROLIND.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 3.6% per year for the next 10 years. That is 6.4% slower than its historical growth rate of 10.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 1.8% | ₹157 | -13.0% |
| Implied | 3.6% | ₹180 | -0.1% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹298 | +65.4% |
| Historical | 10.0% | ₹298 | +65.4% |
At Historical Growth Rate
It would take 3 years for CASTROLIND to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 10.0%.
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.