Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for MOL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
0.2% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹50
Historical Growth
0.8%
FCF Yield
13.99%
Price / FCF
7.1x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹49.65, MOL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 0.2% per year for the next 10 years. That is 0.5% slower than its historical growth rate of 0.8%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 0.1% | ₹49 | -2.1% |
| Implied | 0.2% | ₹50 | +0.0% |
| Historical | 0.8% | ₹52 | +5.4% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹134 | +169.1% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At 0.8% growth, the model values MOL at ₹52, above today's ₹50.
See full DCF analysis
Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, reverse DCF, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.